Sensitivity analysis of mesoscale simulations to physics parameterizations over the Belgian North Sea using Weather Research and Forecasting – Advanced Research WRF (WRF-ARW)
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model offers a multitude of physics parameterizations to study analyze the different atmospheric processes dynamics that are observed in Earth's atmosphere. However, suitability WRF setup is known be highly sensitive type weather phenomena combination parameterizations. A multi-event sensitivity analysis conducted identify general trends suitable setups for three extreme events identified potentially harmful operation maintenance wind farms located Belgian offshore concession zone. considered Storm Ciara on 10 February 2020, low-pressure system 24 December trough passage 27 June 2020. total 12 simulations per event performed effect update interval lateral boundary conditions combinations (planetary layer, PBL; cumulus; microphysics). Specifically, ERA5 varied between hourly 3-hourly. Physics PBL schemes (Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino, MYNN; scale-aware Shin-Hong; Zhang), four cumulus (Kain–Fritsch, Grell–Dévényi, Grell–Freitas, multi-scale Kain–Fritsch), microphysics (WRF Single-Moment five-class scheme, WSM5; Thompson; Morrison). simulated direction speed compared qualitatively quantitatively operational supervisory control data acquisition (SCADA) data. Overall, definitive best-case common all not this study. For speed, employ schemes. These most often driven by intervals as opposed 3-hourly intervals, although it only case significant differences observed. Scale-aware produce better results when combined with schemes, specifically cases. low-pressure-system trend No clear utilizing higher-order parameterization considering found PBL, cumulus, event. Qualitatively, precipitation fields phenomena.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Wind energy science
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2366-7451', '2366-7443']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-1869-2022